Currency Gain Helps Kenya Cut Public Debt Down to $84.6B

TLDR
- Kenya’s public debt fell 2% to 10.93 trillion shillings ($84.6 billion) in December 2024
- The reduction was driven by a 21% appreciation of the Kenyan shilling
- A $1.5B bond sale, rising exports, and a 17% increase in emittances supported the shilling
Kenya’s public debt fell 2% to 10.93 trillion shillings ($84.6 billion) in December 2024, marking its first decline in at least two decades, the National Treasury reported.
The reduction was driven by a 21% appreciation of the Kenyan shilling, making it the world’s best-performing currency last year.
A $1.5 billion bond sale, rising exports, and a 17% increase in diaspora remittances supported the shilling’s strength. However, domestic debt rose 16% to 5.87 trillion shillings, while external liabilities edged up 0.49% to $39.1 billion.
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Key Takeaways
Kenya’s debt relief comes amid economic headwinds. While currency gains have reduced external debt, the government struggles to boost revenue. In the six months through December, tax collection was 7.5% below target, despite aggressive fiscal measures that triggered nationwide protests in 2024. With its $3.6 billion IMF program expiring in April 2025, Kenya must navigate debt risks, global uncertainties, and potential market disruptions under a new U.S. trade policy. Maintaining fiscal discipline, sustaining shilling strength, and securing alternative funding will be key to long-term debt sustainability.






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