Dangote Refinery Set to Disrupt Oil Exports With 400K-Barrel Output
TLDR
- Dangote refinery to process 400,000 barrels/day Nigerian crude, reshaping oil import/export in the region.
- Plant outside Lagos to receive 24 million barrels in Oct/Nov, signaling move towards local feedstock.
- Analysts project tighter West African crude market as Nigerian exports may drop below 1 million barrels/day.
Africa’s largest refinery, Dangote, is set to take in up to 400,000 barrels per day of Nigerian crude over the next two months, transforming the region’s oil import and export dynamics.
The 650,000-barrel-a-day plant, located outside Lagos, will receive about 24 million barrels of Nigerian crude in October and November, marking a significant shift toward local feedstock. The refinery, which has been years behind schedule, is expected to reduce Nigeria’s crude exports substantially.
With Dangote claiming 13 to 14 shipments from Nigeria’s typical 50 monthly cargoes, analysts predict a tighter West African crude market in the fourth quarter. Some estimate that Nigerian exports could fall below 1 million barrels per day due to the refinery’s ramp-up.
Key Takeaways
Dangote’s growing demand for Nigerian crude signals a potential decline in the country’s oil exports and a major shift in West Africa’s energy landscape. Already operating at 60-70% capacity, Dangote is expected to reach full production soon. As Nigeria’s state-owned energy firm, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation has secured a deal to supply crude and distribute the refinery’s gasoline, the refinery could soon reduce Nigeria’s dependence on costly fuel imports.
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