Ghana opts to holds interest rate on disinflation, pending debt deal
The Bank of Ghana has opted to maintain the benchmark interest rate at a record high of 30%, extending its stance to keep policy tighter for a more extended period until a clear downward trajectory toward its target range is established.
This decision comes after a cumulative 16.5 percentage points increase in borrowing costs since November 2021. Governor Ernest Addison emphasized that the disinflation process is expected to persist with the current tight monetary policy stance and a relatively stable currency and base drift effect.
Although inflation is showing signs of deceleration, it remains elevated relative to the target, necessitating the need to sustain the policy rate at a higher level until inflation is firmly anchored on a downward path toward the medium-term target. In addition to maintaining the interest rate, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) increased the cash reserve ratio requirement on all bank deposits from 14% to 15%, effective November 30.
Key Takeaways
Ghana, in its effort to restructure nearly all of its $50 billion debt to ensure sustainability, had anticipated reaching a debt-relief agreement with its official creditors the previous week. This strategic move is part of Ghana's plan to qualify for additional disbursements under a $3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan program. Debt restructuring is a crucial step for countries facing financial challenges, as it helps to alleviate the burden of debt, making it more manageable and sustainable in the long run. Annual inflation in Ghana eased to a 14-month low in October, registering at 35.2%, down from 38% the previous month, but still above the central bank's target ceiling of 10% for more than two years. The Ghanaian cedi and the nation's dollar bonds both reacted to the announcement, with the cedi experiencing little change, and the 2032 dollar bonds trading slightly lower.
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